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Cash budget and cash management: forecasting monthly receipts and payments, spotting a shortfall early and deciding the cash balance to keep, with a worked example for a trading firm

A cash budget forecasts monthly receipts and payments. Closing cash = opening cash + receipts - payments. Compare the closing figure with the minimum balance the firm wants to...

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Topic
Accounting Standards & Bookkeeping
Published
October 4, 2026
Last updated
Oct 8, 2026
Reading time
7 min
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Last updated: October 2026Applies to: Union Budget 2026Verified against: Government sources

A trading firm can show a profit and still be unable to pay salaries on the first of the month. A cash budget lays out the cash expected to come in and go out month by month, so that a shortfall is seen weeks ahead, when it can still be handled calmly. Owners of seasonal businesses and the accountants who run their payments should build one every quarter.

Why cash is held and what treasury means for a small firm

Firms hold cash for day-to-day payments (the transaction motive), to meet surprises (the precautionary motive) and to take up bargains or opportunities (the speculative motive). Too little means missed payments and a strained relationship with suppliers and the bank; too much earns nothing. The treasury function of a small firm is not a department. It is one person who watches the bank balance, the collections and the due dates, keeps the cash budget and decides where surplus cash goes. Cash flow in the past is shown by the cash flow statement, while the budget looks ahead.

Data needed

Sales by month, the share collected in cash and the share collected later, purchases and when they are paid, salaries, rent, interest, tax and loan instalments, planned capital spending, the opening cash and the minimum balance wanted. Non-cash items such as depreciation never appear; credit sales appear only when collected. A firm that wants the cash position weekly or tied to its books can ask for cash flow management support.

The method

  1. Forecast sales by month and convert them into receipts using the collection pattern.
  2. Schedule purchases and convert them into payments using the supplier terms.
  3. Add salaries, rent, interest, tax, loan instalments and capital spending in the month paid.
  4. Compute net cash for each month, then closing cash.
  5. Compare closing cash with the minimum balance; arrange borrowing for shortfalls and plan the use of surpluses.
  6. Speed collections (follow up, early-payment discounts, prompt billing) and control payments (use the full credit period, schedule payments, avoid duplicate payments).

Worked example: Shree Ganesh Distributors

Shree Ganesh Distributors, an invented distributor with festival-season sales, plans for six months from October. Figures in ₹ lakh. Sales: August 40, September 50, October 80, November 90, December 60, January 40, February 40, March 50. Collection pattern: 40 per cent in the month of sale, 60 per cent in the next month. Purchases for the season are paid in the month made (no supplier credit): October 75, November 70, December 35, January 25, February 30, March 40. Other cash payments (salaries, rent, interest) are 10 a month; a vehicle costing 12 is paid in December. Opening cash on 1 October: 6. Minimum balance wanted: 5. Interest on borrowing is ignored to keep the example small.

₹ lakhOctNovDecJanFebMar
Receipts: 40% of this month + 60% of last32 + 30 = 6236 + 48 = 8424 + 54 = 7816 + 36 = 5216 + 24 = 4020 + 24 = 44
Purchases paid757035253040
Other payments101010101010
Vehicle0012000
Total payments858057354050
Net cash-23+4+21+170-6
Opening cash65982525
Closing before financing-17930252519
Borrow / (repay)+220(22)000
Closing cash598252519
Surplus over minimum 5043202014

Reading it. October is the problem month: festival stock is bought and paid before the money comes in, leaving cash at -17 before any action. The owner arranges a short-term limit of at least ₹22 lakh from October, to bring cash up to the minimum of 5. In December the borrowing is repaid out of the strong collections. From January the firm has surplus cash of 20 over the minimum, which can sit in a short-term deposit for the weeks until it is needed, with the cash budget revised each month. If suppliers agreed to a 30-day credit period, October's purchases would be paid in November, when collections are stronger, and the October gap would disappear; that is the cheapest source of funds if the supplier agrees. This links to the credit side in working capital cycle.

How much cash to hold: two models

Baumol model. It treats cash like stock. If the firm needs T rupees a year in cash payments, each conversion of securities into cash costs b, and the yearly return on holding securities is i, the transfer size that minimises total cost is C = square root of (2 x T x b / i). For an assumed T of ₹30 lakh, b of ₹500 and i of 8 per cent: C = square root of (2 x 30,00,000 x 500 / 0.08) = square root of 3,75,00,00,000 which is about ₹1.94 lakh. The model assumes steady, predictable spending, which suits few firms exactly.

Miller-Orr model. For irregular flows, it sets a lower limit (the minimum balance), an upper limit and a return point between them. When cash touches the upper limit, the firm buys securities down to the return point; at the lower limit it sells securities to return. The spread between limits rises with the variability of daily cash flows and the cost of transactions, and falls with the interest rate. The limits are set from the firm's own history.

Parking a temporary surplus

Choose short-term uses by safety first, then ready access, then return. State the amount and the date the money will be needed in the budget. No rate is quoted here because rates change; check current offers from your bank.

Common mistakes

  • Putting credit sales in the month of sale instead of the month of collection.
  • Including depreciation or other non-cash items.
  • Forgetting tax, loan instalments or capital spending.
  • Building the budget once a year and never updating it.
  • Holding a minimum balance by habit and not by analysis.
  • Planning receipts at the contract date when customers pay late; compare with the master budget for consistency.

Need help with cash planning?

If your business runs short at the same time every year, our cash flow management service builds a rolling cash budget from your sales, collections and payments and flags the weeks that need action. You then see the shortfall early and can arrange funds on better terms.

Key takeaways

  • A cash budget forecasts receipts and payments month by month.
  • Closing cash = opening cash + receipts - payments; compare with the minimum.
  • Plan for shortfalls in advance and use surpluses deliberately.
  • Baumol and Miller-Orr models help fix the cash level when flows are steady or irregular.
  • Update the budget every month.

Read next

Disclaimer: The methods described are standard cost accounting and financial management techniques. The worked example uses an invented business and invented figures, including any tax, interest or exchange rate, which are assumptions for illustration and not current rates. Where the article refers to a legal requirement, the linked guide and the official text should be checked. This article is general information, not legal advice; check the official text before acting.

Quick recapKey facts & short answers

Key Facts About Cash budget

  • Applies in: All states across India, under the relevant central law.
  • Mode: Mostly online via the official government portal.
  • Typical timeline: Ranges from a few days to a few weeks depending on the case.
  • Non-compliance: May attract penalties, interest or late fees.
  • Expert help: TaxClue completes the entire process end to end for you.

Is a cash budget the same as a profit forecast?

No. Profit includes credit sales and non-cash items. Cash budget counts only money received and paid.

How far ahead should it run?

Six to twelve months, with the next three months in detail and a monthly update.

The right form filed late and the wrong form filed on time cause the same trouble — file the right one on time.

— TaxClue Compliance Desk

Cash budget: a key compliance topic in Indian tax and corporate law that businesses and individuals must understand to remain compliant.

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Disclaimer: This article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute professional tax, legal or financial advice. Laws, rates and due dates change and can vary by individual case — always verify with the relevant government source (e.g. mca.gov.in, incometax.gov.in) or consult a qualified professional before acting. TaxClue accepts no liability for decisions taken based on this content.

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Questions, answered

Short, direct answers to the 6 questions readers ask most on this topic.

No. Profit includes credit sales and non-cash items. Cash budget counts only money received and paid.

Six to twelve months, with the next three months in detail and a monthly update.

Enough to cover a few days of regular payments and surprises. It is the firm's choice, set from its own pattern, not a fixed figure.

Instalments are cash payments. Depreciation is only an accounting charge.

The accountant, with inputs from sales and purchase teams, reviewed by the owner.

Compare each month, find the cause (late collection, early purchase) and adjust the next months.