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ITC Accumulation After the GST 2.0 Rate Cuts

Outputs fell to 5%, inputs stayed at 18%. Credit now builds every month with no liability to absorb it — and the refund formula still leaves part of it stranded.

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Topic
GST
Published
September 5, 2026
Last updated
Oct 1, 2026
Reading time
6 min
0:00
Last updated: October 2026Applies to: FY 2026-27Verified against: Government sources

A rate cut looks like unambiguously good news until you run it through the credit ledger. A manufacturer whose output went from 18% to 5% did not just cut the customer's tax. It cut the only thing its input credit had to be set against.

The ICAI FMCG sectoral guide names this directly: accumulation of unutilised input tax credit is a direct consequence of the GST 2.0 rate rationalisation, and for many businesses it is the largest single working-capital effect of the reform.

How the arithmetic works

Take a soap manufacturer. Output moved from 18% to 5%. Inputs did not move.

Before 22.09.2025After
Sale value₹1,00,00,000₹1,00,00,000
Output tax18% = ₹18,00,0005% = ₹5,00,000
Input purchases (chemicals, packaging)₹60,00,000₹60,00,000
ITC on inputs @18%₹10,80,000₹10,80,000
Input services (freight, advertising, job work)₹15,00,000₹15,00,000
ITC on input services @18%₹2,70,000₹2,70,000
Net payable / (accumulation)₹4,50,000 payable(₹8,50,000) accumulating

The business went from paying ₹4.5 lakh a month to building ₹8.5 lakh a month of credit it cannot use. Over a year that is roughly a crore sitting in the ledger.

The refund route, and where it stops short

Section 54(3), first proviso, clause (ii) allows refund of unutilised ITC where "the rate of tax on inputs being higher than the rate of tax on output supplies", other than nil-rated or fully exempt supplies, and other than supplies the Government notifies as excluded.

Rule 89(5) gives the formula:

Maximum Refund = (Turnover of inverted rated supply of goods and services × Net ITC ÷ Adjusted Total Turnover) − (tax payable on such inverted rated supply of goods and services × Net ITC ÷ ITC availed on inputs and input services)

Two things to notice.

Net ITC in the first limb means inputs only. The Explanation to Rule 89(5) defines Net ITC as ITC availed on inputs during the relevant period. Credit on input services and capital goods does not enter the numerator.

Since the October 2024 amendment, the second limb divides by ITC availed on inputs and input services. That change (Notification No. 14/2022-CT read with the subsequent amendments) partially corrected the earlier distortion identified in VKC Footsteps — but only in the deduction limb.

Net effect: a business whose accumulation is driven by input services — advertising, freight, job work charges, professional fees, software — recovers less than a business with the same accumulation driven by physical inputs. In FMCG, where advertising and distribution spend is enormous, that gap is material.

The credit that fails the formula does not disappear from the ledger. It simply has no exit.

What is not refundable at all

  • Capital goods credit. Excluded from Net ITC entirely. A plant expansion during an inverted period produces credit that can only be used against future output tax.
  • Notified excluded supplies. Clause (ii) itself carves out supplies the Government notifies. Construction services and certain fabrics have historically been on that list — check the current notification for your supply before building a claim.
  • Nil-rated and fully exempt outputs. These are outside clause (ii) altogether; the credit is not accumulating, it is being reversed under s.17(2) and Rule 42.

Practical steps for an accumulating business

File monthly, not opportunistically. Refund under s.54(3) is claimed for a tax period. Section 54(1)'s two-year limit runs from the relevant date, and for inverted duty that is the due date for furnishing the return under s.39 for the period in which the claim arises. Letting periods pile up risks losing the earliest ones.

Do not bunch across financial years. Claims must be for a period within a single financial year, and the formula operates on that period's turnover.

Reconcile GSTR-2B before claiming. Rule 89 draws on the returns; a mismatch between the claim and GSTR-2B is the most common deficiency memo in RFD-03.

Classify inputs and input services deliberately. Because the formula treats them differently, how a procurement is characterised affects the refundable amount. A packaging item bought as goods is an input; the same value bought as a job-work service is not. This is a genuine planning point, not a device — but the characterisation has to be commercially real.

Consider whether the accumulation is structural or transitional. If it is transitional — a one-time inventory effect — waiting may be cheaper than filing. If it is structural, it will not resolve on its own.

Track the s.54(6) notification. Once the Finance Act, 2026 amendment is notified, these claims become eligible for 90% provisional refund, and Rule 91(2) already turns that into a seven-day, system-risk-based order. That changes the cash-flow calculation substantially. Provisional refund for inverted duty →

Key takeaways

  • A rate cut on outputs without a matching input cut creates monthly credit accumulation.
  • The exit is a s.54(3) clause (ii) inverted-duty refund under Rule 89(5).
  • Net ITC excludes input services and capital goods, so part of the accumulation is unrefundable.
  • Capital goods credit in an inverted period has no refund route at all.
  • The two-year limit runs period by period — do not let claims age.
  • 90% provisional refund for these claims awaits notification of the s.54(6) amendment.

Read next

Disclaimer: Positions stated as on 5 September 2026, based on ICAI GST publications updated to 2026. Check the current notification of supplies excluded from inverted-duty refund before filing.

Quick recapKey facts & short answers

Key Facts About ITC Accumulation After

  • Applies in: All states across India, under the relevant central law.
  • Mode: Mostly online via the official government portal.
  • Typical timeline: Ranges from a few days to a few weeks depending on the case.
  • Non-compliance: May attract penalties, interest or late fees.
  • Expert help: TaxClue completes the entire process end to end for you.

Why is my ITC accumulating after the GST rate cut?

Because your output tax fell while your input tax did not. With less liability to set credit against, the balance in the electronic credit ledger grows each month.

Can I claim a refund of accumulated credit?

Yes, where it arises from an inverted duty structure — section 54(3), clause (ii) of the first proviso, computed under Rule 89(5).

ITC Accumulation After: a key compliance topic in Indian tax and corporate law that businesses and individuals must understand to remain compliant.

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Vikas Sharma Verified expert Tax & Compliance Expert

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Disclaimer: This article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute professional tax, legal or financial advice. Laws, rates and due dates change and can vary by individual case — always verify with the relevant government source (e.g. mca.gov.in, incometax.gov.in) or consult a qualified professional before acting. TaxClue accepts no liability for decisions taken based on this content.

People also ask

Questions, answered

Short, direct answers to the 6 questions readers ask most on this topic.

Because your output tax fell while your input tax did not. With less liability to set credit against, the balance in the electronic credit ledger grows each month.

Yes, where it arises from an inverted duty structure — section 54(3), clause (ii) of the first proviso, computed under Rule 89(5).

Only partly. Net ITC in the formula's first limb covers inputs alone. Input services enter the denominator of the second limb but not the numerator of the first, so the refund is less than the full accumulation.

No. Capital goods are excluded from Net ITC and can only be used against future output tax.

Two years from the relevant date, which for this category is the due date for furnishing the return under section 39 for the period in which the claim arises.

The Finance Act, 2026 extends section 54(6) to cover them, but that amendment starts only on a date to be notified.