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How Much GST Refund Will I Get? An Estimate for Each Refund Category

For exports with IGST paid, you get the IGST paid on the export. For exports or SEZ supplies under LUT and for inverted duty, you get a formula share of ITC under Rule 89(4) or...

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September 30, 2026
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Last updated: October 2026Applies to: FY 2026-27Verified against: Government sources

The honest answer is: it depends on why the money is refundable. Some refunds give back exactly what you paid. Others give back only a formula share of the credit in your ledger. And every claim can be trimmed by ledger balances, missing invoices, the minimum amount rule or the unjust-enrichment test. This page shows how to estimate your figure, category by category.

Step 1: find your category

Refund categoryWhat you get backBasis
Export of goods with IGST paidIGST paid on the exportRule 96: the shipping bill is the application
Export of services with IGST paidIGST paidRFD-01
Export or SEZ supply under LUT/bondShare of ITCRule 89(4) formula
Inverted duty structureShare of ITC on inputsRule 89(5) formula
Excess balance in the cash ledgerThe excess balances.49(6), RFD-01
Excess tax paid, tax on a cancelled supplyThe amount paid in excesss.54(1), subject to unjust enrichment
Deemed exportsTax paid on the supplyRFD-01 by recipient or supplier

If you are not sure which box you are in, types of GST refund categories walks through each. For the formula categories, the quickest estimate is the GST refund calculator.

Step 2: estimate the figure (illustrations)

A. Export of goods with IGST paid

You export goods worth ₹50,00,000 and pay IGST at, say, 18% (check the rate for your goods): ₹9,00,000. Refund = ₹9,00,000, credited through ICEGATE once the shipping bill, GSTR-1 Table 6A and GSTR-3B agree. No formula applies. If they do not agree, the amount does not move at all; see IGST refund not received.

B. Export under LUT

Zero-rated turnover ₹60,00,000; Adjusted Total Turnover ₹1,00,00,000; Net ITC (inputs + input services) ₹10,00,000.

Refund = 60,00,000 × 10,00,000 ÷ 1,00,00,000 = ₹6,00,000, the share of credit that relates to exports. The other ₹4,00,000 relates to domestic sales and stays in your ledger for use. Provisional refund at 90% = ₹5,40,000. The full working is in GST refund calculation for export without payment.

C. Inverted duty

Inverted turnover ₹80,00,000 = ATT; output tax ₹4,00,000; ITC on inputs ₹6,00,000; ITC on input services ₹2,00,000.

  • 80,00,000 × 6,00,000 ÷ 80,00,000 = ₹6,00,000
  • 4,00,000 × (6,00,000 ÷ 8,00,000) = ₹3,00,000
  • Maximum refund = ₹3,00,000

Credit on input services and capital goods is not refunded here. See Net ITC meaning in the GST refund formula.

D. Excess cash-ledger balance

You deposited ₹2,50,000 by challan and used ₹1,70,000. Refund = ₹80,000. Circular 166/22/2021-GST says the two-year limit does not apply to this category, and the ₹1,000 minimum does not either.

E. Excess tax paid

You reported ₹3,00,000 extra output tax in GSTR-3B and cannot adjust it in a later return. Refund = ₹3,00,000, provided you show the tax was not passed on to the customer.

Step 3: apply the caps that reduce the amount

What cuts the refundHow it works
Least-of-three (formula categories)Refund = lowest of the formula amount, the ledger balance at period end and the ledger balance on filing day
1.5× cap on export valueExport goods value is capped at 1.5 times the value of like goods sold domestically
ITC not in GSTR-2BExcluded under Circular 135/05/2020-GST
Capital goods and blocked creditNever part of Net ITC
Minimum amountNo refund under ₹1,000, applied per tax head (Circular 125/44/2019-GST); not applicable to excess cash-ledger balance
Unjust enrichmentFor excess tax and similar claims, s.54(8) requires proof that tax was not passed on; a CA certificate is needed where the claim exceeds ₹2 lakh
Adjustment against duesThe officer can adjust an outstanding demand from the refund, shown in RFD-06
Time limitTwo years from the relevant date; a late claim gets nothing

Illustration of the least-of-three cut. Your LUT formula gives ₹6,00,000, but you used credit for later months, so the ledger on filing day shows ₹4,20,000. Refund claimable: ₹4,20,000. Filing before using that credit would have protected the other ₹1,80,000.

Step 4: when you will actually see it

Provisional refund for zero-rated supplies is due in RFD-04 within seven days of acknowledgement, on system risk evaluation, under Rule 91(2) as substituted w.e.f. 01.10.2025. The final order is due within 60 days of a complete application (s.54(7)). Beyond that, interest at 6% p.a. runs under s.56; see GST refund interest calculation. Timelines are covered in how many days a GST refund takes.

Want a firm number before you file?

An estimate is easy; the claimable amount depends on how the returns, 2B and ledger actually line up for the period. We work out the admissible figure period by period and tell you where the refund is being lost. Try the GST refund calculator first, then take it further through the GST refund hub.

Key takeaways

  • Refunds of tax paid (IGST on exports, excess tax, cash ledger) return the amount paid.
  • LUT/SEZ and inverted-duty refunds return only a formula share of ITC.
  • The formula amount is then capped by your ledger balances, so file before using the credit.
  • Missing 2B credit, capital goods, the 1.5× cap and the ₹1,000 per-head minimum all cut the figure.
  • Zero-rated claims can get 90% provisionally; delayed final refunds carry 6% interest.

Read next

Disclaimer: Positions stated as on 30 September 2026, based on the CGST Act and Rules as amended, the Finance Act 2026, and the ICAI Handbook on Refunds under GST (January 2026). Verify current notifications before filing.

Quick recapKey facts & short answers

Key Facts About Much GST Refund

  • Applies in: All states across India, under the relevant central law.
  • Mode: Mostly online via the official government portal.
  • Typical timeline: Ranges from a few days to a few weeks depending on the case.
  • Non-compliance: May attract penalties, interest or late fees.
  • Expert help: TaxClue completes the entire process end to end for you.

How much GST refund will I get on exports?

With IGST paid, the IGST paid. Under LUT, the Rule 89(4) share of ITC: zero-rated turnover × Net ITC ÷ Adjusted Total Turnover, capped by ledger balances.

Why is my refund less than my ITC balance?

The formula refunds only the share of ITC that relates to zero-rated or inverted supplies. The rest relates to other supplies and stays for use.

Much GST Refund: a key compliance topic in Indian tax and corporate law that businesses and individuals must understand to remain compliant.

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Disclaimer: This article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute professional tax, legal or financial advice. Laws, rates and due dates change and can vary by individual case — always verify with the relevant government source (e.g. mca.gov.in, incometax.gov.in) or consult a qualified professional before acting. TaxClue accepts no liability for decisions taken based on this content.

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Questions, answered

Short, direct answers to the 6 questions readers ask most on this topic.

With IGST paid, the IGST paid. Under LUT, the Rule 89(4) share of ITC: zero-rated turnover × Net ITC ÷ Adjusted Total Turnover, capped by ledger balances.

The formula refunds only the share of ITC that relates to zero-rated or inverted supplies. The rest relates to other supplies and stays for use.

Yes. No refund is paid if the amount is under ₹1,000, applied per tax head. It does not apply to excess cash-ledger balance.

Yes, at 6% p.a. if the refund is not paid within 60 days of a complete application, and 9% where the refund arises from an appellate or court order.

Up to 90% of a zero-rated claim under s.54(6). Extending provisional refund to inverted-duty claims was enacted by the Finance Act 2026, but it applies only from a date to be notified.

Generally no. Refund is for registered businesses in the s.54 categories; see how to claim GST refund on purchases.